Philotica

Philotica Forecast Studio combines statistical models for US gas storage and Japan's typhoon approaches with custom probability forecasts. Its Agentic Delphi panel lets 2-3 AI evaluators assess evidence, challenge reasoning and revise estimates over two rounds. Track forecasts from initial judgment to scored outcomes. Conflict recurrence forecasting is in development. Philotica.com is the research hub connecting my ideas with the methods, tools and results of putting them into practice.